Qingpu, N. Kaohsiung, Hsinchu May Be First to See Price Drops 青埔桃捷沿線.北高雄.新竹 恐首波房價跌

The outside world expects housing prices to take a major hit after amendments act were passed. Scholars predict that the first wave of decline will be in the areas along Taoyuan Qingpu's airport MRT line, North Kaohsiung, Hsinchu, and Taichung's Beitun. 

The Legislative Yuan passed the third reading on amendments to the Equalization of Land Rights Act on the 10th, dealing heavy blows to real estate speculation. Experts believe that it will help the housing market to cool down, and housing prices will slowly land softly. However, the key is whether local governments can enforce the law.

Chang Chin-oh, Retired Professor, NCCU: “The key is whether local governments will enforce the law. If pressure from interest groups caused local governments not to enforce the law, then this bill is worthless.”

The central government is working hard to amend the law to prevent loopholes in real estate speculation, but it also requires local governments to enforce the law. Experts expect that after amendments to the Equalization of Land Rights Act were passed, housing prices will see a major slump. They predict that the first wave of decline will be the most obvious in the areas along Taoyuan Qingpu's Airport MRT line, North Kaohsiung, Hsinchu, and Taichung's Beitun. Public infrastructure is not yet in place for these areas, but housing prices have risen ridiculously. Selling pressure is expected to gradually increase. However, some real estate experts believe that the government is not really trying to curb real estate speculation because the timing, direction, and targets are all wrong. Young people probably will not feel the impact of the new law.

Li Tung-jung, Real Estate Expert: “Prices have already cooled down. There's no room for it to fall anymore if you go after it. We should be targeting the main source of high housing prices, which is due to record-high land prices.”

Experts appeal to the government that the amendments were revised and passed in a hurry. They ask that subsequent laws must be drafted more rigorously, so as not to allow real estate speculation to revive again.

立法院10日三讀通過《平均地權條例》修正案，祭出5重拳遏制炒房，學者認為，將有助房市冷卻，房價會慢慢軟著陸，但後續關鍵在於，地方政府能否落實執法。

政治大學地政系退休教授張金鶚分析：「如果利益團體壓力下來，然後雷聲大雨點小，或者到時候就是沒有落實執行，造成這個法案這個徒有法令的這個名目，而沒有辦法落實的這個根本的關鍵吧。」

中央力拚修法防堵炒房漏洞，但也得地方政府執法落實給力，才不會高高舉起，卻輕輕放下。外界預期，《平均地權條例》修正案通過後房價會跟著大地震；學者預測，首波跌勢最明顯的區域，包含青埔桃捷沿線、北高雄、新竹和北屯中，這些地方建設未到位，但價格卻漲得離譜，賣壓會逐漸增加。只是，針對《平均地權條例》的5大措施，有房市趨勢專家認為，這不是真的打炒房，而是一場打假球的鬧劇，因為打炒房的時機、方向和對象都不對，年輕人恐怕無感修法。

房產趨勢專家李同榮指出：「已經降溫了嘛，你去打它，也沒有炒作的空間你去打它，我們應該是針對的是麵粉不是麵包，那這個房價高最主要的源頭，是來自於土地創新高。」

專家呼籲政府，《平均地權條例》已匆促三讀修正通過，接下來的子法，得更嚴密擬訂，才不會讓炒房再度死灰復燃。