Taiwan Issue Mitigated if US, China Reconcile: Scholar 兩岸未來發展? 學者認關鍵在美中關係

The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party has ended. On Oct. 26, U.S. President Joe Biden said the U.S. is not seeking conflict with China. Scholars said the key to the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations will be the stabilization of the U.S.-China relationship.

The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party has ended. On Oct. 26, U.S. President Joe Biden said during a meeting with U.S. Department of Defense leaders that the U.S. is not seeking conflict with China and he has repeatedly made this point clear to Xi Jinping. Meanwhile, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken warned that China is speeding up the reunification process and is no longer accepting the status quo.

Joe Biden, US President: “We also have to be, to responsibly manage increasingly intense competition with China. You know, we have to maintain a military advantage, but we're making it clear that we don't seek conflict. We don't seek conflict. I told him that we're looking for competition. There'll be stiff competition, but not there doesn't need to be conflict.”

Antony Blinken, US Secretary of State: “The decision by the government in Beijing that the status quo was no longer acceptable, that they wanted to speed up the process by which they would pursue reunification.”

The Mainland Affairs Council said that China may take a more proactive and hardline approach against Taiwan, so Taiwan will defend its sovereignty and there is absolutely no room for compromise.

Chiu Chui-cheng, Deputy Mainland Affairs Minister: “There is more and more cognitive warfare, but we continue to firmly protect our national sovereignty, freedom, and democracy. There is absolutely no room for compromise on this.”

Former National Security Council Secretary-General Su Chi said President Tsai Ing-wen has manipulated the cross-Strait relationship, democracy, and the will to fight for Taiwan, making the U.S. mistakenly think that Taiwan will maintain the status quo. He believes that the Chinese threat to Taiwan will peak in five years' time. The U.S. military has not transformed, which gives the Chinese military a chance to strike a blow against Taiwan.

Su Chi, Former Secretary-General, National Security Council: “It has no way of defending itself against Chinese missiles. The U.S. is completely unprepared to defend Taiwan.”

Yang Ka-huang, Director, Cross-Strait Research Center, MCU: “The only solution is the reconciliation of China and the U.S. Once they do that, the Taiwan problem will naturally become a smaller problem in the eyes of China.”

Su also said the Tsai administration denies the 1992 Consensus, but has offered no alternative, so how can it promote dialogue? Scholars said the key to the peaceful development of cross-Strait relations would be the stabilization of the U.S.-China relationship.

美中兩大強權對峙，中共二十大落幕，拜登26日在白宮會見國防部高階軍事領導人，就美中關係做出回應。拜登強調，美國不尋求跟中國發生衝突，點名習近平也知道這點。布林肯示警，中共加速統一奪取台灣，已決定不再接受現狀。

美國總統拜登表示：「我們必須負責任地處理與中國日益激烈的競爭，我們必須明確表示不尋求衝突來保持軍事優勢。我們不尋求衝突，我告訴他們，我們只要競爭，而非激烈衝突，所以不必有衝突。」

美國國務卿布林肯示警：「北京政府決定不再接受這種現狀，他們希望加快實現統一的進程。」

美中關係牽動兩岸局勢，邱垂正指出，中共對台政策可能走向更積極、強硬的做法，我方維護主權，絕不會有任何妥協空間。

陸委會副主委邱垂正表示：「越來越多的認知作戰，那我們還是一樣，我們還是堅定維護國家主權跟自由民主，這個我們沒有任何妥協的空間。」

兩岸關係如同走鋼索。國安會前秘書長蘇起指控，總統蔡英文將台灣操作成「3張陰陽臉」，讓美國誤判台灣維持現狀，認為中共5年內，對台威脅將達到最高點，尤其美軍尚未轉型，讓共軍有機可趁對台動武。

國安會前秘書長蘇起說：「針對中共飛彈，它根本沒有防守能力，美國根本沒有準備好這個防衛台灣。」

銘傳大學兩岸研究中心主任楊開煌認為：「今天唯一解套就是中美能和解，中美和解之後，台灣問題自然不是一個對中國來講，就不是那麼嚴重。」

蘇起指出，蔡政府不承認九二共識，至今沒有提出配套方案，要如何促成和平對談？學者認為，兩岸關係和平發展，關鍵在於美中關係回穩。