Experts of National Policy Research anticipate no dramatic changes in the Japan-Taiwan relation and the bilateral tie between the two sides will continue strengthen.
Presenter: As Fumio Kishida is set to become Japan's new Prime Minister, many analysts believe he will continue maintaining a friendly, non-governmental relation with Taiwan, while try to be cautious and flexible when facing China.
Fumio Kishida will become Japan’s new Prime Minister. The Academia Historica posted photos of Kishida and former President Lee Teng-hui taken when the then House of Representative member visited Taiwan in 1994. Analysts are concerned about Taiwan-Japan relations after Kishida takes office. Many at the Institute for National Policy Research believe there won’t be much change as Japan is likely to continue strengthening its alliance with the US while maintain a friendly relation with Taiwan.
Tien Hong-mao, Chairperson, Institute for National Policy Research:”Japan has completely been cooperating with U.S.’ Indo-Pacific Strategy in recent years due to its own overall policy and security considerations.”
Yang Chun-chih, Professor, Department of Government & Law, Kaohsiung University:”Shinzo Abe’s policy of Pro-Taiwan will continue. U.S.-Japan Security should be the most important issue.
Scholars analyzed Kishida won the election as he had gained support from the biggest intraparty faction. Therefore, the former foreign minister and defense minister, is likely to take on a prudent approach when to US-China rivalry.”
He previously expressed concern about the Taiwan Strait and will continue to follow the US Indo-Pacific strategy. He is expected to enhance Taiwan-Japan military exchanges and support Taiwan’s participation in the CPTPP.
Chen Wen-chia, First Deputy Head, Taiwan Society of Japan Studies:” Including the current joint British and Japanese military exercise, Kishida cares about containment and deterrence of China. Deterrence is more important. I’m more optimistic about Taiwan and Japan’s relations going forward.”
Chen believes that Kishida's stance on China and Taiwan issues are tougher than his predecessor. However, given other practical issues and economic pressure, Kishida is likely to maintain a flexible policy towards China. For example, next year marks the 50th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Japan. In addition, Beijing is hosting Winter Olympics. Japan is also expected to maintain its current policy of "actively developing non-governmental relations" with Taiwan. &&