More Voters Don't Support Chen than Do 民調:陳時中選北市 國人37.6%支持.40.2%不支持

According to the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation's latest public opinion poll, 37.6 percent of respondents support Chen Shih-chung resigning to run for Taipei City mayor while 40.2 percent don't. New Taipei City Mayor Hou Yu-ih, meanwhile, saw his approval rating take a hit due to the Enen case. Meanwhile, The foundation also polled the public on Taoyuan mayoral candidate Lin Chih-chien, who is facing with a thesis plagiarism scandal. 

Chen Shih-chung resigned as the head of the Central Epidemic Command Center, a post he'd held for 911 days, to run for Taipei City mayor. According to the latest Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation public opinion poll, 37.6 percent of respondents support his decision and 40.2 percent don't. In Taipei, 49 percent of respondents did not support Chen's decision while 32 percent did.

Su Huan-chih, Former Tainan County Mayor: “Nominating Chen Shih-chung is a risky move, so why did they do that? It's because it's a three-way race and his chances of winning are higher in a split vote, especially when he has so much support from the party.”

The foundation has conducted seven polls since last May. Since last July, New Taipei City Mayor Hou Yu-ih's approval rating has fallen from 50.3 percent -- the highest among the six special municipalities -- to 28.4 percent. Hou's approval rating fell 6.8 percentage points in the past month alone due to the Enen case.

Michael You, Chair, Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation: “We've never seen this happen before. Everyone knows 6.8 percentage points is not small. One percentage point equates to 195,000 people.”

The foundation also polled the public on Lin Chih-chien, who is facing with a thesis plagiarism scandal. While younger respondents had a stronger reaction to the scandal, 48.2 percent of respondents said wasn't a big deal and only 36.4 percent said it was. Among Taoyuan residents, 53 percent of respondents in Taoyuan felt it wasn't a big deal and 33 percent felt it was.

當了911天的疫情指揮中心指揮官，陳時中接受民進黨徵召，參選台北市長，根據台灣民意基金會的7月民調顯示，國人支持度有37.6%，不支持則有40.2%。不過從握有關鍵選票的台北市民來看，有4成9不支持陳時中參選北市，支持的僅有3成2。

前台南縣長蘇煥智表示：「提名陳時中也是有風險，那當然現在為什麼，如果這是一對一，可能他這個風險就非常明顯，但是主要就是因為三腳督，那麼他的勝算就相對大，尤其他現在這個政黨的支持度。」

而基金會從去年5月到現在，前後7次調查，新北市長侯友宜的支持度始終都是獨占鰲頭、高居六都第一，不過去年7月攀上50.3%的高峰後，就一路下滑到現在的28.4%，尤其過去一個月流失6.8個百分點。學者認為，恩恩案後續是近期最重要的因素之一。

台灣民意基金會董事長游盈隆表示：「前所未見，以前從來沒有發生過這種事情，這一次發生這樣的事情，6.8個百分點不是很少，各位要知道，6.8個百分點，一個百分點全國來講，大約是19.5萬人。」

外界關注的選戰焦點，還有林智堅的論文風波，民調結果有48.2%的民眾認為不嚴重，36.4%認為嚴重，數據觀察發現，年輕族群對論文風波有較為強烈的反應；從桃園本地選情來看，有5成3認為不嚴重，3成3認為嚴重，顯示目前桃園人對此事件關切的程度不如全國民眾，也可能是還沒發酵。