UK POUND FALLS TO LOWEST LEVEL IN 31 YEARS|脫歐公投後 英鎊已貶至31年來最低水平

After Brexit, the pound has fallen consistently. On Oct. 10, it depreciated to 1 against 1.24 US dollars, the lowest in 31 years. The Bank of England and others believe as imported goods become more expensive and the EU market continues to shrink, the British economic outlook is not great. But Other analysts believe that the pound has long been overvalued, and devaluation will take it back to normal levels. A Reuters survey showed that due to worries about Brexit, the financial services sector will relocate out of the UK, so that the UK will lose its status as a financial center and sterling will continue to fall. The cost of imports will rise impacting consumer habits and affecting business confidence. ==UniCredito Italiano FINANCIAL ANALYST== It will take time for the consumer to be hit, and it will come in two ways, it will come as higher prices and through higher import prices as a result of weaker sterling. UK reports sterling devaluation is good for the long-term development of the real economy. The Independent newspaper said London's stock market has gradually returned to or even surpassed the pre-referendum level. ==The Independent newspaper FINANCIAL ANALYST== Many of course including the Bank of England expected that the UK would suffer a very significant slowdown, that's not happened... The Independent newspaper said that the UK has relied on its status as a financial center to attract finance which in turn had fueled real estate prices and over-valued sterling as a side effect. Before Brexit, sterling was over valued by 20 to 25 percent. The Financial Times chief financial commentator, warned the Bank of England over the years about the financial sector bubble, which only profited the financial industry itself, and did not help real output or the manufacturing sector. The Independent newspaper believes that the pound returning to US$1.1 will allow the economy to leave the bubble and the May cabinet to implement education and personnel training to strengthen investment in the economy for long term sustainable development. TRANSLATED BY：CLARE LEAR 路透社引述英國商務部調查指出，由於擔心英國脫離歐盟之後，金融服務業將大舉外移，讓英國失去金融中樞的地位，牽動英鎊持續貶值。影響所及，進口物價上漲、衝擊民眾消費意願，影響企業對未來的信心。 ==義大利裕信銀行金融分析師 丹尼爾維納札== 過些時候消費者就會受影響 這會分成兩個層面 首先是(進口)物價上漲 然後是貶值造成漲價 再轉嫁給消費者 不過英國媒體的報導指出，英鎊貶值對實體經濟的長遠發展，未嘗不是好事。獨立報指出，倫敦股市在脫歐公投後，已逐漸回到甚至超越公投前的水準。 ==獨立金融分析師 巴士東卡爾== 當然包括英格蘭銀行在內的很多人 預期英國經濟會重摔 但是並沒有 獨立報的分析指出，英國多年來靠著金融中心的地位，的確吸引不少資金入境，但卻造成房地產飆漲、以及帶動英鎊被過度高估的副作用。脫歐公投前，英鎊已經被高估百分之20到25。 金融時報首席評評論員馬丁沃爾夫，痛批英國央行多年來放任金融業泡沫膨脹，認為金融業擴大只圖利了金融業自己，對製造業的實質產出沒有幫助。 獨立報因此認為，隨著英鎊回到1英鎊兌1.1美元的合理價位，讓英國經濟走出泡沫，配合梅伊內閣對教育與人才培養加強投資，經濟長期間就可以走向永續發展的道路。 記者 徐家仁 報導