Expert Estimates 4 Million People Getting Flu in Taiwan 專家示警A型流感大年 估恐4百萬人感染

Influenza experts are concered about the flu season this year, estimating that up to 4 million people could be infected in Taiwan.


With fall and winter coming, so is the arrival of flu season. Clinics have recorded that the number of patients seeking treatment for fever, cough and other respiratory symptoms have gone up. Most of them have been tested negative for COVID-19, which means they probably have the flu. 

Chan Chien-chun, Clinic doctor: “There is a new concept called the "immunity debt." The flu is not the main concern these years so flu vaccinations have been put off.  Thus, many people have low levels of antibodies against the flu.”

The latest wave of COVID-19 is expected to reach its height in Taiwan by Sept. 21, but doctors worry more about the flu. The Centers for Disease Control discovered that three weeks into September, 80 out of the 89 cases of influenza are Type A. The CDC predicted Influenza A to be the trend for this year. As "immunity debt" builds up, health experts predict that 4 million people may get the flu in Taiwan. 

Huang Li-min, Honorary Chair, Infectious Diseases Society of Taiwan: “I estimate about 20 to 25 percent of the population would get the flu this year, and it is very likely for people to get the flu and COVID-19 at the same time. The combination of the two would intensify the symptoms by 30 percent.”

Health expert Huang Li-min said that the flu peak season usually falls in November, but the peak is expected to be earlier this year. With Taiwan's border control further relaxing, doctors are calling out to the public, advising especially high-risk groups to get their flu shots as soon as possible. Starting Oct. 1, the government-funded quadrivalent influenza vaccination will become available.


 

 

秋冬季節來臨,流感病毒又蠢蠢欲動,有基層診所發現,近來發燒、咳嗽等呼吸道症狀病人增加,但是新冠快篩卻呈現陰性,很可能就是感染流感病毒。

診所醫師詹前俊指出:「有一種叫免疫負債,因為兩年大家都沒有流感流行,所以很多人身上的流感的抗體幾乎都是很低。」

新冠本土疫情最快本週三21日達到高峰,但醫師更擔憂流感疫情。因為疾管署監測發現,9月第3週監測到89例流感陽性,其中A型就占80例,推測今年為A型流感大年。在免疫負債反撲情況下,恐怕有400萬人染疫,未打疫苗者同時感染新冠與流感,重症率將增加3成。

台灣感染症醫學會名譽理事長黃立民預估:「你大概可以估25%到20%的人口,可能會被感染流感。那今年流感一定,很有可能會跟新冠撞在一起,同時感染兩個病毒呢,疾病嚴重程度會增加30%。」

黃立民強調,往年流感流行季是11月,但今年提早報到,加上我國邊境即將解封,今年流感疫情來勢洶洶、不可輕忽,因此呼籲符合公費接種資格的高風險族群,10月1日起可施打4價流感疫苗,以提升保護力。