Taiwanese Public Very Concerned About Inflation 油價連漲物價持續攀升 引台灣通膨疑慮

Central Bank Governor Yang Chin-long said Taiwan does not currently have an inflation problem despite the fact that the prices of oil and commodities are expeirencing an upward trend. Yang said it's due to temporary energy issue. 


Global oil prices keep rising, and domestic diesel and gas prices have gone up for five straight weeks. With commodities prices also on the rise, everyone is worried about inflation. On the 1st, Central Bank Governor Yang Chin-long told lawmakers that higher commodities prices are only temporary and inflation is not happening in Taiwan.

Yang Chin-long, Governor, Central Bank: "It's primarily (due to) energy. It's primarily (due to) energy. Our inflation rate is very mild."

According to Yang, Taiwan's rising inflation rate is caused by rising oil prices. The price of 95 unleaded gas peaked at NT$30.23 per liter in 2019 before falling to NT$18.53 in 2020 and rising back up to NT$30.13 this year. International outlets are forecasting that the global oil price will fall from US$85 to US$75 per barrel in 2022. Yang says this means Taiwan's inflation rate won't keep going up forever. Yang also discussed the three conditions for raising key interest rates.

Tseng Ming-chung, Legislator (KMT): “The latest forecasts have the US possibly raising interest rates (next) July. Then let me ask you, when will we raise interest rates?”
Yang Chin-long, Governor, Central Bank: “ I think the most important factors are, first of all, how quickly consumer prices are rising and the outlook from the price increase rate. Second, you have to look at what your neighboring countries are doing with their interest rates because major countries raising their rates will affect capital flow. Third, you have to look at how successful our government's bailout and stimulus programs are.”


Agriculture Minister Chen Chi-chung also addressed concerns that produce prices are going up after the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics announced a consumer price index increase of 2.63 percent in September, a nine-year high. 

Chen Chi-chung, Agriculture Minister: “The current wave of inflation may be affecting produce prices. The price of rice is extremely stable. The beginning of winter is our vegetable harvest season, and there are absolutely no problems.”

According to Chen, the Council of Agriculture has been conducting monthly agricultural inventories since last year to make sure the supply of produce remains stable. Chen also said there are no issues with livestock, seafood, or pork production with current wholesale prices at around NT$7,500. In addition, Chen said supplies of chicken and free-range chicken have been stable for the past month.

 

 


國際油價居高不下,國內汽柴油價格也已經連5週調漲,再加上全球物價不斷上漲,也讓各界關心國內是否有通貨膨脹的問題,央行總裁楊金龍在立法院財政委員會表示,物價上漲屬暫時性國內目前沒通膨問題 。

中央銀行總裁楊金龍表示:「主要是能源主要是能源,我們的通膨率非常溫和。」


楊金龍表示,台灣通膨率上升和油價上漲有關,如果以95無鉛汽油來看,從2019年的高點每公升30.23元,降到去年的18.53元,今年再漲到30.13元,其實價格跟前年差不多,而國際機構則預測明年國際油價應可從現在的85美元左右回到75美元,因此,國內通膨率應該沒有持續攀升之虞,至於市場預期美國聯準會將提早到明年7月升息,台灣是否也有升息可能,對此楊金龍說台灣升息有3條件。

國民黨立委曾銘宗表示:「現在新的預測美國可能(明年)7月就升息,那我要請教你,我們大約什麼時候會升息?」

中央銀行總裁楊金龍表示:「我想最重要的還是就是說,第一個就是你的物價上漲率,上漲率未來的展望這是第一個,第二個也要看看就是說,周遭的這些主要國家的一個升息的情況,因為最主要的就是,主要國家的升息會引起資金的移動,第三個就也要看看我們,紓困振興的情況是怎樣。」

另外,日前主計總處公布9月物價指數漲幅高達2.63%,創近9年新高,外界也擔憂農產品部分是不是也會慢慢漲價。

農委會主委陳吉仲表示:「這次有關可能的通膨,對我們所有的農產品價格影響,米的價格絕對非常穩定,我們現在進入冬天,是我們蔬菜的這樣的一個盛產期,也絕對沒問題。」

陳吉仲表示,從去年新冠疫情爆發後,為求穩定供應國內消費者農產品,幾乎每個月都在盤點,比較關心的是畜產跟漁產,豬肉都在綠燈區,現在批發價格7500元上下,肉雞、土雞批發市場過去這一個月也很穩定。

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