NTD RISING AGAINST USD, FALLING AGAINST YEN, EXPORTS AFFECTED|外資熱錢湧入 台幣匯率創2年半新高

The NT dollar yesterday rose against the US dollar, gaining $0.156 NT to close at NT$30.062 while the exchange rate of Japanese Yen to Taiwanese Dollars dropped to $ 0.2676NT. Since the beginning of last year, the NT Dollar continues to appreciate. It rose from NT33.838 to NT31.16 against the U.S. dollar at one point. This year, the NT dollar gained nearly 7 percent against the U.S. dollar. On May 2, the NT dollar rose against the US dollar, gaining NT$0.156 to close at NT$30.062. ==CHEN YU CHUNG foreign exchange analyst, Taishin International Bank== The government is to fix the exchange rate at NT$ 30 against 1 US dollar. If the NT dollar falls below NT$ 30 mark against the greenback, then the next exchange rate we need to observe is likely to fall at NT$ 29.5. ==SUN MING-TE President, Taiwan Institute of Economic Research== There are more small and medium-sized enterprises in Taiwan, so the exchange rate of NT$ 29 against the greenback will not last for long. It is probably at the peak. Last year, the exchange rates for NT Dollar to Japanese Yen (NTD/JPY) was NT$ 0.3248. This year, the exchange rate hit an 18-month low at $ 0.2676. Analysts think the NT dollar will remain strong while the JPY continues to dip. ==CHEN YU CHUNG foreign exchange analyst, Taishin International Bank== Chances for the NT dollar to appreciate are promising mainly because of the foreign fund inflows. The JPY is affected because the tense atmosphere in the whole region starts to relax. So, if the JPY begins to depreciate, the NT dollar is likely to appreciate for one more month. The Central Bank of the Republic of China may not be delighted to see the NT dollar fall below the NT$ 30 mark against the greenback. Analysts said that NT dollar's appreciation is likely to affect the export because there are many small and medium-sized enterprises in Taiwan. However, analysts also said because of the weakening effect of raising the interest rate, along with tax reforms by US President Donald Trump, which will lead to more budget deficit, the NT dollar is likely to be strong. The US dollar will dip in the second half of the year and hot money will return to Asia again. TRANSLATED BY:BRYANT CHANG 近期台幣狂飆,加上外資熱錢湧入影響,今天台幣兌美元,盤中一度升破3字頭,最高來到29.98元。不過收盤拉回收在30.062元,升值1.56角,創2年6個月新高。另外日圓兌台幣,盤中最低來到0.2676元,創一年半以來新低。 台幣狂漲,從去年初,台幣兌美元匯率,從33.838元 ,一路往上升,去年最高曾來到一美元兌31.16台幣,今年漲勢更驚人,從年初至今,漲幅近7%,今天(5/2)台幣收盤,盤中一度漲破3字頭,最高來到29.98元,最後2字頭拉回,收在1美金兌30.062元台幣,升值1.56角,創2年半新高. ==台新銀行匯率分析師 陳有忠== 官方的話是有意鎖在30塊 萬一我們30塊漲破的話 那下一個支撐的觀察點的話 大概是落在29.5塊 ==台經院景氣預測中心主任 孫明德== 因為台灣中小企業比較多 所以我覺得最近的匯率升值 大概29撐不久 29大概就是一個頂點 在亞洲貨幣中,台幣也很強勢,尤其對日圓,去年日圓對台幣,匯價還落在0.3248元,不過近期日圓走弱,加上外資熱錢湧入台股,日圓兌台幣,盤中最低來到0.2676元,創一年半以來新低,分析師認為,在台幣持續走強情況下,日幣兌臺幣還會繼續跌。 ==台新銀行匯率分析師 陳有忠== 台幣走升的機會 還持續還很大因為主要來講 外資持續的一直匯入 日圓卻因為說整個地區的 一個緊張趨勢的趨緩 所以日圓的話 開始漲多拉回 台幣兌日圓 走升的一個期望區間 可能還會再延續一個月 學者認為,台幣兌美元2字頭價位並非央行所樂見對,因為台灣中小企業多,如果台幣持續走強恐怕影響出口表現,不過分析師也表示,美國升息效力遞減,川普推稅改財政支出將持續擴大,下半年美金走跌,熱錢再回流亞洲,台幣恐怕還會繼續走強。 記者黃立偉 張國樑台北報導

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